Thursday, March 29, 2007
Session 10 Review
Thursday, March 22, 2007
Session 9 Review
Scenario planning is a method for learning about the future by understanding the nature and impact of the most uncertain and important driving forces affecting our future. It is a group process that encourages knowledge exchange and development of mutual deeper understanding of central issues important to the future of your business. The goal is to craft a number of diverging stories by extrapolating uncertain and heavily influencing driving forces. The stories together with the work getting there has the dual purpose of increasing the knowledge of the business environment and widen both the receiver's and participant's perception of possible future events. The method is most widely used as a strategic management tool, but this and similar methods have been used for enabling other types of group discussion about a common future. (Source: Well.com)
Now that I have given you a scholarly approach to it above, let me go ahead and explain it in my words. Everyone has a habit of wanting to predict future moves and decisions. The method we actually use is by trying to figure out what is going to happen in that future and how we could react to it. That is probably my most simplistic understanding of scenario planning.
So how do we go about building a scenario? Well, the standard process involves: (Source: Net Based Management.net)
- identify people who will most likely contribute to a wide range of perspectives
- comprehensive interviews/workshops could be done so as to understand all likely future changes that can affect oneself and the company
- cluster the different views together to form a pattern
- from these draw out a list of priorities i.e. the best ideas
- create a rough picture(scenario) of the future based on these priorities
- work further to now detail the impact of this scenario on the company
- mark out early signs/warning signals for each different impact
- moderate, evaluate and review scenarios
This now gives us a rough idea as to what exactly happens in scenario planning. I am going to paste something below I found rather interesting. I pulled off the web and I think its important to read it as I am quite sure at some point in our lives we will have to use the scenario planning tool. (Source: Net Based Management.net) Now that you have an idea about what we discussed I will continue ahead with my thoughts on the seminar.
Some traps to avoid in Scenario Planning:
1) treating scenarios as forecasts
2) constructing scenarios based on too simplistic a difference, such as optimistic and pessimistic
3) failing to make scenario global enough in scope
4) failing to focus scenarios in areas of potential impact on the business
5) treating scenarios as an informational or instructional tool rather than for participative learning / strategy formation
6) not having an adequate process for engaging executive teams in the scenario planning process
7) failing to put enough imaginative stimulus into the scenario design
8) not using an experienced facilitator
Now that you have an idea about what we discussed I will continue ahead with my thoughts on the seminar. Prof Gilbert did explain all the above and said that scenario planning is a common corporate tool and was actually derived from military planning tools and intelligence methods. I think what I realised is most important is not to predict the future but to look at all the different possibilities that can occur. Each and every possibility has the same likelihood of occuring as the other. The aim of the scenario planning is just to keep you prepared for different types of occurances. At the same time it will also teach you and prepare you on how to handle the different future scenarios. Once the whole analysis process is over you get what is known as a scenario matrix. It is short, concise but tells you exactly what you need to know and is extremely useful. I love the idea of such a simple yet powerful table. It makes something difficult to think about and understand seem so simple, yet organised.
VARIABLE 1 | |||
Outcome 1A | V | Outcome 1B | V | ||
V A R I A B L E 2 | Outcome 2A --> | Scenario 1 | Scenario 2 |
Outcome 2B --> | Scenario 3 | Scenario 4 |
It was really great learning about this tool. I think it really is useful to students, corporation and ofcourse the place it all started: the military. There is loads of information about it on the web and most of it is actually really useful.
All in all it was a detailed seminar but never the less filled with ideas. Gosh with so many ideas and details coming through every week I am beginning to worry about the exam! So confused about what can be asked! Just a month to go...oops!!!
Thursday, March 15, 2007
New Wireless Profile!
802.11n Draft 2.0 Approved, Will Be Fully Compliant With Final Draft
Monday, March 12, 2007
Session 8 Review
I was really impressed with some of the groups ideas and presentations. Infact one groups (team visionaries) managed to come up with a flash presentation of the interface which was really impressive!
The rest of the seminar was used to discuss about 'Interactive Designs'. Critical Design Trends that should be implemented into applicationwere discussed about. Prof Gilbert showed a very simple game with us to illustrate the importance and power of design. The game requires two players to each take turn to choose a number from a set of numbers between 1 to 9 till either sidehas a summation of 15 from the selected numbers. He then went on to explain to us the concept of the same game could be made easier to understand by using symbols like X and O; and making it Tic-Tac-Toe. This illustration of effective design concept show us how interaction, ease of use and 'visual'-ness aids in a customers experience. It can be applied to almost any design and can help a customer have a better and more enjoyable experience.
This led up to the discussion on Used Case designing concept that helps in the process of system designs. Used cases are used in the analysis stage of a project. They help identify different functions and use what is called a used case diagram. The diagram doesn't actually tell you a whole lot but conveys the idea of the structure of the case. These diagrams are not that interesting and useful when views without the accompanied text, but along with the text form a very organised and structured analytical view of the topic. A Use Case Diagramc contains the following:
- Actors: An actor represents any entity that performs certain roles in the given system. These different roles are actually the business roles in reality of that system. An actor in a use case diagram interacts with a use case.
- Use case: A use case is a visual representation of a distinct business functionality in a system. To identify a business process as a use case, it is important to make sure the business process is discrete . Each business function can be thought of as a potential use case.
- System boundary: A system boundary defines the scope of what a system will be. Every system reach a limit as far as its functionality is concernced. Similarly, use cases must have a limit. A system boundary of a use case diagram basically defines the limits of the system.
Session 7 Review
I have been looking forward to this class for a while now. I do subscribe to quite a few podcasts ranging from news to comedy to hobbies and even general knowledge. But this class actually got me thinking about it a little more than just a source of entertainment. I was never really sure about the technical aspects of a podcast. Infact I had always just assumed it had something to do with an ipod because of the similar 'pod' in the names. And well I was right! A podcast is basically a media file that can distributed over the Internet and can be played on mobile devices and computers. This allows them to be extremely portable. At the same time a podcast can be created by almost anyone. As long as you have a mic and the correct software your good to go!
The seminar discussed how podcasts are being used by numerous well known companies both as a means of internal and external information distribution. The great advantage here is that people can choose which podcasts to view and listen to. At the same time they can keep viewing them over and over again once downloaded. I believe podcasts can be used a method by higher management to pass certain messages down to their suboordinates. It would represent a fun element into working life and at the same time prevents potential problems being caused in the form of coordination of times of meetings as well as boredom in meeting process.
At the same time podcasting can be used a medium of education too. It has tremendous potential in such a field. At this moment I am using podcasts to learn Spanish. I must admit I have just started so I am still trying to get the feel of Spanish but podcasts give students and working people so many options. The podcast I am using is "Learn Spanish with Coffee Break Spanish" and can be downloaded using iTunes software. There are many such different podcasts to learn, the video ones ofcourse helping more in terms of science subjects. It helps kids learn and at the same time introduces that new "fun" and "cool" element to studies.
Most of the working crowd actually spends a considerable amount of time on travelling. And while travelling they also spend a considerable time using a portable media device like a laptop or mp3 player to play music or watch movies. This gives podcasts such a huge market to dive into. I really do feel the potential is tremendous. It need not always be in the form of a video podcast but could even be in the form of a simple tag line in an audio podcast. I remember from my National Geographic podcasts, each episode actually begins with a short 15sec ad for AT&T. The point is after a while of subscribing to podcasts users will tend to have the image of such ads permanently in the mind and I think that really helps so much in spreading a brand image.
I had followed a show called One Tree Hill for a while (not very interesting, but thought about something from it), where one of the characters uses a podcast as a method to talk out her feelings and also her life. So it kind of served as a diary for her in terms of her thoughts and feeling towards people, life and all sorts of issues. To me that makes podcasting a way of actually having a digital blog. You can't really see and read it but you can listen to it and still get everything you would from reading it. Just a different point of view I wanted to share.
Anyway back to the main topic. Podcasts can be created using different types of software. Depending on how good and professional you want them to be your costs would vary from $0 to thousands. Yes thats right, you can actually create a podcast for free if you own a mic and can download basic podcasting software. One such free software is Audacity. I have not tried it yet and am not fully aware of how to use it. I am going to try though and see if I can put up a podcast on of my blog entries just as a test and to record a few thoughts. I am not going to list out how you do it because one of my class mates has done an excellent job of it! Here is the link if you want to learn how to create a podcast!
(Thanks for sharing Arinto)
I hope you guys do try podcasting, if not creating atleast listening to some. I've always thought of a podcast as something that can be entertaining, educational as well as upto date! I use them for so many things: news, music, comedy shows, wildlife, philosophy, and languages. Anyways I do hope you try it out and enjoy it... that's all for me as I head into my mid sem break =)